tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post3236858489206246758..comments2024-03-17T10:11:46.952-04:00Comments on Film Experience Blog: FINAL Oscar Nomination PredictionsNATHANIEL Rhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comBlogger119125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-23092700080786861582009-01-21T00:45:00.000-05:002009-01-21T00:45:00.000-05:00anon... i don't really think it will get 13. I do ...anon... i don't really think it will get 13. I do think it will get double digits though. Maybe 10 or 11.<BR/><BR/>minus the two acting nods is very possible.<BR/>whcih brings it down to 12. minues one of the tehcnicals. also very possible.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-40847341185871703082009-01-20T19:04:00.000-05:002009-01-20T19:04:00.000-05:00I just saw you're predicting 14 nods for Button. T...I just saw you're predicting 14 nods for Button. That would tie it for the most ever, with Titanic and All About Eve. Considering it's not even the frontrunner to win it's unlikely to me this will happenAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-16423108691108506692009-01-19T13:58:00.000-05:002009-01-19T13:58:00.000-05:00I love the "Best Song" performances on Oscar night...I love the "Best Song" performances on Oscar night as much as hearing who wins in each category...that being said, I have to believe that Clint Eastwood's song for "Gran Torino" will be nominated. To hear Jamie Cullum sing it would be astounding...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-53174769652454325202009-01-18T16:10:00.000-05:002009-01-18T16:10:00.000-05:00Guy, I just answered and explained the reasons.Guy, I just answered and explained the reasons.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-29502897411517816202009-01-18T14:58:00.000-05:002009-01-18T14:58:00.000-05:00"I really don't want to go on and on about this."A..."I really don't want to go on and on about this."<BR/><BR/>And yet you do.Guy Lodgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06073912302467109996noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-11423953272626707342009-01-18T14:02:00.000-05:002009-01-18T14:02:00.000-05:00I just saw your answer to me, Mr R.Thanks.I really...I just saw your answer to me, Mr R.<BR/>Thanks.<BR/>I really don't want to go on and on about this.<BR/>Your Oscar predictions took me by surprise and I thought that you overlooked Angelina Jolie's talent, the fact that she carries the entire film and has precursors <BR/>vote as well - and emphasized the celebrity nonsense, that can be applied to any of them anyways.<BR/>B/c of SUCH nonsense, Angelina's (and NO one else's!) terrific talent should be ignored by the Oscar voters and even by people reading predictions ?! I think NOT (and I am sure I am not alone).<BR/>I honestly wonder how much longer will it take for detractors to see Jolie - and EVERYONE else for that matter - for what they are and not for whatt the trashy, greedy and corrupted tabloids say!<BR/>Will it take another Oscar snub for Angelina?! Hopefully not.<BR/>That's really all I wanted to say.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-53885997555108230282009-01-18T11:07:00.000-05:002009-01-18T11:07:00.000-05:00I like the way you say Dev Patel's role is "not pa...I like the way you say Dev Patel's role is "not particularly difficult." Presumably that's in the same way that The Love Guru is "not particularly funny."<BR/><BR/>If Patel gets nominated I would submit it is singularly the easiest role ever to yield an Oscar nomination. BAFTA should be embarrassed.Adamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07180351806853963718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-65385834873454663792009-01-17T20:08:00.000-05:002009-01-17T20:08:00.000-05:00I totally agree on Gran Torino. I actually like Ea...I totally agree on Gran Torino. I actually like Eastwood and was expecting a nice movie, but I was amazed by how cheap and weak it looked.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-59312760300789950152009-01-17T17:58:00.000-05:002009-01-17T17:58:00.000-05:00anon 5:37 ... i don't think GRAN TORINO is a bad m...anon 5:37 ... i don't think GRAN TORINO is a <I>bad</I> movie. But i definitely don't think it's a good one either. I gave it a C... which means completely average.<BR/><BR/>Clint was good (though hardly should be coming near a "best" acting prize) but i thought the story was hokey, the racism was too gleefully portrayed --we get it Clint -- and the supporting cast was awful... I don't really like the use of non-actors unless whoever is directing them is willing to work hard to pull great performances out of them (I also have this problem with some of Gus Van Sant's work and many art films... I MUCH prefer real actors to non-actors) <BR/><BR/>Plus the movie, to me, looks shot for TV and I never dig that in the cinema.<BR/><BR/>and the only reason i'm sharing all of that is because i get tired of people assuming that i have automatic responses rather than thought out positions. I don't automatically dislike movies... though, <I>like anyone else</I> I am more prone to like movies by artists I adore than artists who I don't often respond to.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-61306408149026097182009-01-17T17:51:00.000-05:002009-01-17T17:51:00.000-05:00What a pity that Leonardo di Caprio's performance ...What a pity that Leonardo di Caprio's performance in "Revolutionary Road" is overlooked. He delivered a tour-de-force performance that deserves recognition.<BR/><BR/>I can say the same thing about James Franco (Milk)and Rosemarie de Witt (Rachel...). They deserve to be nominated.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-12958313631883571842009-01-17T17:37:00.000-05:002009-01-17T17:37:00.000-05:00nat, do you really believe "gran torino" is a bad ...nat, do you really believe "gran torino" is a bad movie or you are simply did not like it because of the clint eastwood factor? can u honestly say your judgment on this film is not clouded?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-44920329941354716152009-01-17T12:57:00.000-05:002009-01-17T12:57:00.000-05:00anon -- i guess i don't really understand where yo...anon -- i guess i don't really understand where you're coming from with what you think i'm doing/feeling about Jolie. I really love Angelina Jolie. Always have. Have always been a supporter.<BR/><BR/>I just don't really like THIS performance.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-11289964881456059012009-01-17T12:37:00.000-05:002009-01-17T12:37:00.000-05:00Mr R,Thanks for answering.So you stand by everythi...Mr R,<BR/>Thanks for answering.<BR/>So you stand by everything you said re: Angelina? Even if there was no "carries entire film" notion? B/c she DOES, and does it simply beautifully.<BR/>No mention of PRECURSOR LOVE? It IS there, more than for others.<BR/>YES,Clint Eastwood was totally right (and he knows what he is talking about) when he said that her celebrity and her beauty - even much more beautiful in person, I saw her in London - STILL detracts some people from seeing her as an excellent actress that she has PROVEN to be (truckload of awards, and nominations too, at the tender age of 33 - how about that!)<BR/>You push this celebrity blah-blah-BLAH that can easily apply to ANY of them. But, NO one of them does someting USEFUL as Angelina has been doing for over 8 years (since she was 25, and doing good was not "in fashion" yet).<BR/>Look for Jolie's detractors among people like that and certainly NOT "all" of us.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-84929033747179496862009-01-17T09:43:00.000-05:002009-01-17T09:43:00.000-05:00Just noticed you're predicting 14 nominations for ...Just noticed you're predicting 14 nominations for "Benjamin Button." I know it's a tech monster and all, but I find it hard to imagine them giving a record-equalling tally to a film beloved by so few.<BR/><BR/>Surely it has to miss somewhere. I don't where, but...Guy Lodgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06073912302467109996noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-19406020053441739892009-01-17T09:29:00.000-05:002009-01-17T09:29:00.000-05:00Too much baggage as a star, and that actively work...Too much baggage as a star, and that actively works against her.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-77639966389075744982009-01-17T08:11:00.000-05:002009-01-17T08:11:00.000-05:00anon 11:24 i'm not backtracking. that's the way i...<B>anon 11:24</B> i'm not backtracking. that's the way i've done it for years and years ... the ranking is based on nominating probability -- although usually that coincides with winning probability but not always. For example: if clint eastwood, who i have in 6th, manages the nomination... i'd put him at #1 (sigh)<BR/><BR/>i may have made errors or forgotten the point of it here or there :) but that's always been my strategy for ranking.<BR/><BR/><B>fenix</B> mistake. I will fix.<BR/><BR/><B>anon 9:37</B> i stand by everything i said re: jolie as far as boosters/weaknesses go... but I'm glad you liked the performance. I just didn't respond to it at all. It's the first time honestly that I've ever been bored by Jolie. I usually find her fascinating or at least entertaining to watch even if the movie is bad.<BR/><BR/><B>all</B> i'm curious as to why people are so doubtful about Jolie's nomination. The reasoning i'm hearing behind why AMY ADAMS is a lock all apply to Jolie too (never missed a precursor etcetera) and yet people think Jolie will be snubbed. <BR/><BR/>curious.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-470216684353320552009-01-17T05:51:00.000-05:002009-01-17T05:51:00.000-05:00The WGAs also snubbed 'In the bedroom' in 2002. Ca...The WGAs also snubbed 'In the bedroom' in 2002. Can you believe it? And also 'Memento' if I'm right. Because their writers weren't members of the WGA, You know how it works...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-38413290663315444952009-01-17T03:24:00.000-05:002009-01-17T03:24:00.000-05:00I've also heard that Hackman's supporting nominati...I've also heard that Hackman's supporting nomination in "I Never Sang for My Father" is a total sham, but I still haven't seen the film.<BR/><BR/> - Michael ShetinaAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-49731802219630419442009-01-17T03:23:00.000-05:002009-01-17T03:23:00.000-05:00I have mixed feelings about the Hutton win. I lov...I have mixed feelings about the Hutton win. I love the performance, but how is Mary Tyler Moore a lead and Hutton is not? Makes no sense whatsoever, but Hutton was not gonna dethrone DeNiro that year. So I'm happy he was rewarded... but he probably robbed Joe Pesci of an Oscar.<BR/><BR/> - Michael ShetinaAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-13676444689001841362009-01-17T02:37:00.000-05:002009-01-17T02:37:00.000-05:00"My candidate for the biggest case of category fra..."My candidate for the biggest case of category fraud is Timothy Hutton in "Ordinary People"."<BR/><BR/>YES, Nigel. Very true!!!Alex Constantinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09940311552608814201noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-42000032511289065092009-01-16T23:53:00.000-05:002009-01-16T23:53:00.000-05:00The Best Original Song ctegory puzzles me. I love ...The Best Original Song ctegory puzzles me. I love Regina Spektor, but I agree that her song/the film it is from do not have the momentum to carry her. But none of the songs aside from Jai Ho, The Wrestler, and Down to Earth seem like they can be nominated.<BR/><BR/>I am also very distressed by the fact that Miley Cyrus will have an Oscar nomination to her name. Where have the days of Shaft and Beauty and the Beast gone?Jacob Passyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16931500727477983204noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-14789669203779548402009-01-16T23:24:00.000-05:002009-01-16T23:24:00.000-05:00Nate: What is your lineup of actresses probabilit...Nate: What is your lineup of actresses probabilities to win ?-- Apparently, you are now backtracking and saying your lineup is nomination probability only. In the past, your lineupS have always been probability of winning. It looks to me like the lineups are very close to both nomination and win probability as they now stand with the exception of Supporting Actress (Winslet factor).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-90297373958043478202009-01-16T23:02:00.000-05:002009-01-16T23:02:00.000-05:00Anon, "Little People" wasn't on the 40-odd long li...Anon, "Little People" wasn't on the 40-odd long list the Academy released if I remember correctly. I'd say it's make-up has a better chance than the song ever did (not their thing at all).Glennhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08194113062830373898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-51126662032307447972009-01-16T22:17:00.000-05:002009-01-16T22:17:00.000-05:00Oh and I really like your picks overall though I d...Oh and I really like your picks overall though I don't think both Jolie and Hawkins will make it in.<BR/><BR/>With Patel it depends on when the majority turn in their ballots. If it was last week, he's definitely in. More than a week or so ago I'm not so sure.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-34143122590460234412009-01-16T22:10:00.000-05:002009-01-16T22:10:00.000-05:00One thing I"ve been wondering about, is the song "...One thing I"ve been wondering about, is the song "Synecdoche, NY" from Synecdoche not eligible or something? I thought that piece was the only nominate-able element of the film.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com