tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post4406453851507813930..comments2024-03-17T10:11:46.952-04:00Comments on Film Experience Blog: August Oscar RevisionsNATHANIEL Rhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comBlogger41125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-81201425909077184792008-08-03T21:48:00.000-04:002008-08-03T21:48:00.000-04:00Anon, the Wall-E DVD release isn't an Oscar strate...Anon, the <I>Wall-E</I> DVD release isn't an Oscar strategy it's a profit strategy. The reason Pixar have moved their movies to Summer is because the felt like <I>The Incredibles</I> lost about $50mil in box office because it was released in November, and also if you release amovie in summer the DVD can be out for Christmas.<BR/><BR/>Money Money Money. It's a rich man's world.Glennhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08194113062830373898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-787588503585725442008-08-03T18:37:00.000-04:002008-08-03T18:37:00.000-04:00jude law is a good point arkaan ... but 2003 was q...jude law is a good point arkaan ... but 2003 was quite obviously the weakest least competitive best actor race of the past decade or two. There were only really ever 6 candidates. which is nothing. So it was either Crowe or Law who was going to luck out with the fifth spot.ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16417770325536692463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-44355348801219152872008-08-03T13:41:00.000-04:002008-08-03T13:41:00.000-04:00I think Jackman in "Australia" isn't just going to...I think Jackman in "Australia" isn't just going to be a "romantic lead". The romance is stressed to get people into the theatre, but the movie does the war, too, with plenty of grimness and tragedy (but that wouldn't be a seller in the trailers). So, I suspect there'll be enough serious stuff so that the Jackman role looks more like serious drama than romance.<BR/><BR/>And I don't think it hurts that Jackman is well-liked. He's respected for his ability and hard work as well as his courtesy. "The Fountain" showed that he was totally game for whatever a director's vision happened to be, and "The Boy from Oz" that he could commit to a reputation-challenging project and make it wildly successful. And he's in his prime, he's not considered a kid who has decades ahead of him (like maybe DiCaprio in "Titanic").Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-5744390606449004662008-08-03T12:08:00.000-04:002008-08-03T12:08:00.000-04:00Well, it's difficult, but not impossible. Jude La...Well, it's difficult, but not impossible. Jude Law made it in for Cold Mountain despite the film faltering elsewhere, for example.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-34465124180337504972008-08-03T10:51:00.000-04:002008-08-03T10:51:00.000-04:00I agree with you all. Jackman definitely should jo...I agree with you all. <BR/>Jackman definitely should join the at least the Oscar nominees. <BR/>He is a very good actor and it would be very postitively surprising if he got a nomination.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-37300385939031369312008-08-03T08:53:00.000-04:002008-08-03T08:53:00.000-04:00I still very firmly believe that "WALL-E" is super...I still very firmly believe that "WALL-E" is superior to "The Dark Knight" and deserves a Best Picture nomination more. I believe the release date of the DVD for "WALL-E" is set for November, so at least they're thinking strategically.<BR/><BR/>BEST PICTURE<BR/><BR/>The Curious Case of Benjamin Button<BR/>Australia<BR/>Revolutionary Road<BR/>Milk<BR/>WALL-E<BR/><BR/>BEST DIRECTOR<BR/><BR/>David Fincher<BR/>Baz Lurhmann<BR/>Andrew Stanton<BR/>Chris Nolan<BR/>Clint EastwoodAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-27443040925097588072008-08-03T08:24:00.000-04:002008-08-03T08:24:00.000-04:00//Anyway, I'm happy to see you've moved Hathaway b...//Anyway, I'm happy to see you've moved Hathaway back into your top five. The trailer for Rachel Getting Married dropped recently (check my blog for a link) and she looks phenomenal.//<BR/><BR/>Thanks for the link, Hayden. (I still say the old title, "Dancing with Shiva" was much better - and it made more sense, if the main character refers to herself as Shiva. Rachel is, presumably, not the main character in this one.) I'm sure the acting was fine but it looked like a rehash of too many other things we've seen before ("Margot at the Wedding", anyone?), including the "despite it all the family pulls it together" cutesiness (the sort of thing that gets descriptions like "heartwarming") and I feel like the trailer pretty much gives away most of the main plot. Good to see Debra Winger in - anything - again, though, but that trailer gives me a "I'll wait until it comes out on DVD" feeling.Janicehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08049113750769117163noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-77409551089834409332008-08-03T08:15:00.000-04:002008-08-03T08:15:00.000-04:00As it's only August I don't think ANYTHING can be ...As it's only August I don't think ANYTHING can be called a "lock" just yet. <BR/><BR/>(With maybe the possible exception of Heath. He won't actually get the award, of course - Oscar doesn't have much of a history of going to posthumous nominees, but he'll be on the list. One-third "we should have awarded him for Brokeback" one-third "he was terrific in this film", one-third "sentiment for one who died too young", add a splash of "fanboys will tear the flesh from our limbs if we don't at least nominate him" and a dash of "boy this will push up the ratings - those fanboys might actually watch the show to see if he gets the trophy."<BR/><BR/>They won't actually give him the award, of course, but it will keep the suspense going.)Janicehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08049113750769117163noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-62852132935797479432008-08-03T07:19:00.000-04:002008-08-03T07:19:00.000-04:00mrripleyI don't think it's considered the frontrun...mrripley<BR/><BR/>I don't think it's considered the frontrunner. It's just one of the few that have inspired early confidence from pundits. the reasons are several:<BR/><BR/>timely<BR/><BR/>biopic (they love those)<BR/><BR/>incredible and true story (watch the Oscar winning documentary <B><I>The Times of Harvey Milk</I></B> and you'll see what the fuss is about)<BR/><BR/>pedigree (previously nom'ed director who has done a ton of work that Oscar would and could never recognize --too art film challenging -- but which a lot of people respect which theoretically makes him overdue in a way for at least another nod)NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-16390477080003365012008-08-03T02:33:00.000-04:002008-08-03T02:33:00.000-04:00i don't get why milk is considered the frontrunner...i don't get why milk is considered the frontrunner!!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-54248023346358032842008-08-02T23:24:00.000-04:002008-08-02T23:24:00.000-04:00I think the Best Actor/Actress categories are goin...I think the Best Actor/Actress categories are going to be tough this year.....so many baity perfs likely. I've heard mostly very good things about the acting in Rev Road from a recent early test screening, though it doesn't sound like a best picture kind of thing.....likelihood of nods for Winslet/DiCaprio sounds high, though. Milk and Sean Penn are looking good....maybe there will be a little guilt over Brokeback, maybe not. The Road could be both relentlessly grim and a little too horror oriented for the AA, having read the book. Benjamin Button not only looks promising but has the smell of a winner. There we go. I love a surprise as much as the next person though.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-88043619910683002542008-08-02T22:32:00.000-04:002008-08-02T22:32:00.000-04:00Very true - I'm definitely hanging by a string... ...Very true - I'm definitely hanging by a string... but I think Jackman's role will be better written and more meatier/fleshed out than Leo's in Titanic. <BR/><BR/>Jude Law also did it for Cold Mountain.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-90679496695397989282008-08-02T22:12:00.000-04:002008-08-02T22:12:00.000-04:00i am a big Jackman supporter so I understand why p...i am a big Jackman supporter so I understand why people want him nominated but it's really hard to snag those nominations for romantic leads. <BR/><BR/>Leo in Titanic couldn't do it. <BR/><BR/>I'd wager that Ralph Fiennes only did it due to the burn victim makeup (bait) and his previous snub (I still am horrified he lost for Schindler's List since I think it's probably the best supporting performance of the decade) and his general reputation (which Jackman doesn't have. well liked sure. But that's different than being recognized as a "great thespian")<BR/><BR/>Gable did it for the most successful film of all time (gone with the wind) but he lost despite the film winning everything else. Etcetera...NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-19562026614822712352008-08-02T19:20:00.000-04:002008-08-02T19:20:00.000-04:00I'm going to jump on board with whole Hugh Jackman...I'm going to jump on board with whole Hugh Jackman scenario. He's a great actor (with recent brilliant turns in The Prestige and The Fountain) and he's respected in Hollywood (with an Emmy/Tony already to his name). Obviously, it would benefit him enormously if the movie is a huge a success - for Luhrmann, Kidman, and the movie itself. <BR/><BR/>Many people are thinking his role is just for the "eye candy" but it's actually a well fleshed out character - romantic, adventurous, rough hewn, paternal, + all the war aspects. I hope this will be his entrance into the Academy. <BR/><BR/>Here's what I'm thinking:<BR/><BR/>Best Picture<BR/>*Australia<BR/>*Doubt<BR/>*Milk<BR/>*Defiance<BR/>*Revolutionary Road/The Curious Case of Benjamin Button<BR/><BR/>Best Director<BR/>*Baz Luhrmann, Australia<BR/>*Gus Van Sant, Milk<BR/>*Edward Zwick, Defiance<BR/>*Christopher Nolan, TDK<BR/>*Sam Mendes, RR / David Fincher, BB<BR/><BR/>Best Actor<BR/>*Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon<BR/>*Sean Penn, Milk<BR/>*Hugh Jackman, Australia<BR/>*Viggo Mortensen, The Road<BR/>*Leonardo DiCaprio, RR<BR/><BR/>Best Actress<BR/>*Meryl Streep, Doubt<BR/>*Kate Winslet, RR<BR/>*Nicole Kidman, Australia<BR/>*Keira Knightley, The Duchess<BR/>*Sally Hawkins, Happy Go Lucky<BR/><BR/>Best Supp Actor<BR/>*Liev Schreiber, Defiance<BR/>*Robert Downey Jr, The Soloist<BR/>*Heath Ledger, TDK<BR/>*Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Road / Brandon Walters, Australia<BR/>*Josh Brolin, Milk<BR/><BR/>Best Supp Actress<BR/>*Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona<BR/>*Viola Davis, Doubt<BR/>*Taraji P. Henson, BB<BR/>*Vera Farmiga, Nothing But the Truth<BR/>*Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married<BR/><BR/>I'm not buying into the Hathaway hype - I've seen the trailer and she doesn't look that great at all. She may have some memorable moments, but will be overshadowed for the most of it. I think she'll get a GG nod at best.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-30201041444458193472008-08-02T17:56:00.000-04:002008-08-02T17:56:00.000-04:00the Jack that's a definite possibility. summertime...<B>the Jack</B> that's a definite possibility. summertime being free of much to talk about Oscar-wise.<BR/><BR/>But i mean. You NEVER know what the studios will do. I mean every single year they surprise people with their complete lack of understanding about what constitutes a supporting or a leading role. And every year the Oscars and the critics do the same.<BR/><BR/>but people are debating whether it is actually a lead so it's not a black and white issue either. category confusion could happen.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-40725873058568010942008-08-02T16:20:00.000-04:002008-08-02T16:20:00.000-04:00to distract me from learning: here are my predicti...to distract me from learning: here are my predictions...<BR/><BR/>BEST PICTURE:<BR/>- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button<BR/>- The Dark Knight<BR/>- Milk<BR/>- Nothing But the Truth<BR/>- The Road<BR/><BR/>[- Changeling<BR/>- Revolutionary Road]<BR/><BR/>LEADING ACTOR<BR/>- Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road<BR/>- Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino<BR/>- Viggo Mortensen - The Road<BR/>- Sean Penn - Milk<BR/>- Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button<BR/><BR/>[- Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon<BR/>- Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler]<BR/><BR/>LEADING ACTRESS<BR/>- Kate Beckinsale - Nothing But the Truth<BR/>- Angelina Jolie - Changeling<BR/>- Melissa Leo - Frozen River<BR/>- Meryl Streep - Doubt<BR/>- Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road<BR/><BR/>[- Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married<BR/>- Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky]<BR/><BR/>SUPPORTING ACTOR<BR/>- Josh Brolin - Milk<BR/>- James Franco - Milk<BR/>- Emile Hirsch - Milk<BR/>- Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight<BR/>- Kodi Smit-McPhee - The Road<BR/><BR/>[- Alan Alda - Nothing But the Truth<BR/>- Brad Pitt - Burn After Reading]<BR/><BR/>SUPPORTING ACTRESS<BR/>- Penélope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona<BR/>- Vera Farmiga - Nothing But the Truth<BR/>- Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button<BR/>- Charlize Theron - The Road<BR/>- Debra Winger - Rachel Getting Married<BR/><BR/>[- Kathy Bates - Revolutionary Road<BR/>- Viola Davis - Doubt]Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-26690221135947087952008-08-02T15:11:00.000-04:002008-08-02T15:11:00.000-04:00Don't you think that all the "which category will ...Don't you think that all the "which category will Ledger fall into?" talk is because there isn't much more to talk about at this point in the year? It seems obvious that he'd be Supporting Actor. Not even Jack Nicholson would have been Lead Actor, and he was in his film more than Ledger is.<BR/><BR/>It would seem odd if Ledger was nominated for Lead Actor. I don't even really consider it a possibility.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-58795641819221753892008-08-02T14:54:00.000-04:002008-08-02T14:54:00.000-04:00Hmmm....I'm afraid I don't get the Ann Hathaway th...Hmmm....I'm afraid I don't get the Ann Hathaway thing. She looks okay...but not really believable in the role of family black sheep. <BR/>Also, seeing Winger right next to her only shows up her weaknesses as an actress. <BR/>She's no Winger...Lange....Streep...Weaver...Foster...Blanchett...Winslet....well, you get the picture. <BR/>She does seem like a nice girl though, and she can sing!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-43154104795135179452008-08-02T14:03:00.000-04:002008-08-02T14:03:00.000-04:00Thank god, Rachel Getting Married looks like a ret...Thank god, Rachel Getting Married looks like a return to form for Demme, judging by that trailer. Wasn't really buying into Oscar buzz for it until now.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-63556973587806326602008-08-02T12:08:00.000-04:002008-08-02T12:08:00.000-04:00I agree that we can't tell until we see the movie....I agree that we can't tell until we see the movie. It's so HARD having to backpedal when one of our favorites on paper turns out to be kind of lackluster in reality.<BR/><BR/>I'd agree that Hugh Jackman should have a good shot. He's a consistently good actor, and this should be an excellent showcase role. I think great care will have been taken with all aspects of this movie. There aren't many actors like Jackman around, that have the range and appeal to do a sweeping romantic epic (where the hero is an adult, not a teenager).<BR/><BR/>My guess at this time for Best Actor:<BR/>- Hugh Jackman<BR/>- Viggo Mortensen<BR/>- Frank Langella<BR/>- Sean Penn<BR/>- Brad Pitt<BR/><BR/>It's the Best Actress that's starting to look really up in the air to me, like anything could happen.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-72951754502549249632008-08-02T11:43:00.000-04:002008-08-02T11:43:00.000-04:00I don't think that anyone can talk locks in any of...I don't think that anyone can talk locks in any of the big eight at this point, with the possible exception of Ledger, who is a near-lock. Revolutionary Road and Milk could both go the way of other prestige pics like The Majestic or Memoirs of a Geisha or any number of good-on-paper nominees who disappear.<BR/><BR/>Right now, the only real locks are things like Wall-E's nod in Best Animated Feature and Sound Effects Editing.John Thttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12778817752411507792noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-31377473446348265492008-08-02T11:25:00.000-04:002008-08-02T11:25:00.000-04:00I would love for Jackman to join to the ranks of p...I would love for Jackman to join to the ranks of people who have an Oscar/Tony/Emmy/Grammy. <BR/><BR/>I love that Anon has three of his/her acting predix as Australians and one Brit.Glennhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08194113062830373898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-92195216107280649912008-08-02T10:08:00.000-04:002008-08-02T10:08:00.000-04:00I have a feeling that Jackman will surprise and ge...I have a feeling that Jackman will surprise and get a nomination. When people talk about Australia, Baz and Kidman are the first that come to mind, which will help Jackman. And plus, he's well loved in the business. (He has a Tony, an Emmy...) Jackman also is going to be classic Hollywood. He has that aura about him, which is why I'm predicting a Best Actor Nom. And possibly even a win.Michael B.https://www.blogger.com/profile/06587665362502209914noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-75327470309927166072008-08-02T08:54:00.001-04:002008-08-02T08:54:00.001-04:00My predictions are:Best Picture:AustraliaMilkThe c...My predictions are:<BR/><BR/>Best Picture:<BR/><B>Australia</B><BR/>Milk<BR/>The curious case of Benjamin Button<BR/>Revolutionary Road<BR/>Changeling<BR/><BR/>Best Director:<BR/><B>Baz Luhrmann</B><BR/>Clint Eastwood<BR/>Sam Mendes<BR/>Chris Nolan<BR/>Ron Howard<BR/><BR/>Best Actor: <BR/>Sean Penn<BR/>Leonardo DiCaprio<BR/>Benicio Del Toro<BR/><B>Daniel Craig</B><BR/>Viggo Mortensen<BR/><I>(can´t decide between Craig, Penn, Mortensen)</I><BR/><BR/>Best Actress:<BR/><B>Nicole Kidman</B><BR/>Julianne Moore<BR/>Laura Linney<BR/>Penelope Cruz<BR/>Meryl Streep<BR/><BR/>Supporting Actor:<BR/><B>Heath Ledger</B><BR/>Robert Downey Jr. <BR/>Russell Crowe<BR/>Brad Pitt<BR/>Javier Bardem<BR/><I>(it probably will be the year for Heath, although Russell would deserve the Oscar as well)</I><BR/><BR/>Supporting Actress:<BR/><B>Cate Blanchett</B><BR/>Miranda Richardson<BR/>Renée Zelwegger<BR/>Penelope Cruz<BR/>Emma ThompsonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-30934491396239334562008-08-02T08:54:00.000-04:002008-08-02T08:54:00.000-04:00I suppose that is a good point NathanielI suppose that is a good point NathanielAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com