tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post9029242723906824343..comments2024-03-17T10:11:46.952-04:00Comments on Film Experience Blog: Oscar Predictions ~ FinalNATHANIEL Rhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comBlogger44125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-62173972426387474872010-02-02T08:22:52.626-05:002010-02-02T08:22:52.626-05:00Here are my "Big Six" category predictio...Here are my "Big Six" category predictions:<br /><br />BEST PICTURE--<br />A Single Man<br />An Education<br />Avatar<br />Crazy Heart<br />District 9<br />Inglourious Basterds<br />Invictus<br />The Messenger<br />Precious<br />Up in the Air<br /><br />BEST DIRECTOR--<br />Kathryn Bigelow<br />James Cameron<br />Lee Daniels<br />Jason Reitman<br />Quentin Tarentino<br /><br />BEST ACTOR--<br />Jeff Bridges<br />George Clooney<br />Colin Firth<br />Morgan Freeman<br />Jeremy Renner<br /><br />BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR--<br />Woody Harrelson<br />Christian McKay<br />Alfred Molina<br />Stanley Tucci (for J&J, not Bones)<br />Christoph Waltz<br /><br />BEST ACTRESS--<br />Emily Blunt<br />Sandra Bullock<br />Carey Mulligan<br />Gabourey Sidibe<br />Meryl Streep<br /><br />BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS--<br />Vera Farmiga<br />Maggie Gyllenhall<br />Anna Kendrick<br />Diane Kruger<br />Mo'NiqueBill_the_Bearnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-70560274843913451182010-02-02T07:17:23.773-05:002010-02-02T07:17:23.773-05:00Seriously no technical nominations for 2012. I thi...Seriously no technical nominations for 2012. I think you're dead wrong thereSeanienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-34611547106799971072010-02-02T02:46:03.510-05:002010-02-02T02:46:03.510-05:00I can't believe you and others are picking the...I can't believe you and others are picking the meatball movie over the miyazaki for best animated feature nomination. I haven't seen any of these movies but I have a hard time believing the animators will pass over a living legend like miyazaki over a movie where all the characters look like their hyper on crack.poopynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-42910650640612107732010-02-02T01:43:21.675-05:002010-02-02T01:43:21.675-05:00Hmm. Logorama is an...interesting pick for the 5th...Hmm. Logorama is an...interesting pick for the 5th spot in the Best Animated Short category. I liked the premise of the film - a world full of logos, but the story was stupid and not very entertaining. I'd predict French Roast or The Kinematograph for the 5th spot, but it is very hard to predict since it's darn near impossible to watch a lot of the shortlisted film.<br /><br />But it doesn't really matter, because Nick Park has this in the bag, although my personal favorite in the category is The Cat Piano. I am so hoping for an upset...but it's not gonna happen.ajnruleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07990303219460863679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-74547742861046200942010-02-01T23:27:40.783-05:002010-02-01T23:27:40.783-05:00I think the Gyllenhaal prediction may well pay off...<i>I think the Gyllenhaal prediction may well pay off, though.</i><br /><br />I think so too which is why I'm predicting her and Diane Kruger for the last two spots. Kruger seems fairly safe at least compared to Moore, Morton, and the million other supporting actresses still in the running for those final spots this year since she got the SAG nomination, has been campaigning a lot, has Harvey's support, and [i]IB[/i] will probably get many other nominations which could help her "coast". Melanie Laurent has been pretty absent on the awards circuit, isn't well known as Kruger is, and I think the early category confusion will really hurt her like it did Marion Cotillard. <br /><br />Then, I think it will be Maggie Gyllenhaal because I think [i]Crazy Heart[/i] peaked at just the right time, and because Bridges seems as locked as Mo'Nique and Christoph Waltz now, it will help her getting a nomination ala Denzel Washington and Ethan Hawke in <i>Training Day</i>. Plus, I think she's one that they would love to welcome into their club one day, and <i>Crazy Heart</i> seems like the best (safest) chance to finally nominate her.<br /><br />Also, like Bill_the_Bear and Marsha Mason, I think <i>Crazy Heart</i> and <i>District 9</i> will get those last two spots; although I still wonder if they'll really nominate <i>Up</i> even with 10 slots. It does really feel like <i>The Blind Side</i> is more stupid stupid than Academy stupid to me also. I think <i>The Hangover</i> is just too lowbrow for them, and that there won't be three sci-fi movies in the top 10, maybe not even two but <i>District 9</i> feels like it has more pluses than some of the other choices (of course, I thought that about <i>The Dark Knight</i> last year too). <br /><br /><i>I'm feeling Mackie too. Damon, McKay, Plummer, Tucci feel like they peaked ages ago. And hopefully they're looking for places to honor Hurt Locker since it's the front-runner.</i><br /><br />I put Mackie instead of Damon, along with Waltz, Harrelson, Tucci for <i>TLB</i>, and Plummer, because I think if they really love <i>The Hurt Locker</i>, he'll be pulled in. Of course, I'm worried that Penelope Cruz and Matt Damon will both get filler nominations because they got the precursors that nominees are suppose to get despite there being a plethora of other choices out there that they could go with instead of their hive mind.Rich Aunt Pennybagshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05005421089633289280noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-59303304942208365302010-02-01T23:25:55.659-05:002010-02-01T23:25:55.659-05:00I really hope that the 10th spot doesn't go to...I really hope that the 10th spot doesn't go to The Blind Side. I mean, I enjoyed both Sandra and the movie, and I'm all for giving her a nomination as a career-honors type thing (the award itself, however, is a different story), but there's no way in Hell that The Blind Side is one of the 10 best films of this year. <br /><br />I still think Nine will come through. The actors obviously liked it, because it did get that ensemble nod, and Harvey Weinstein has gotten worse movies in when there were only 5 spots.<br /><br />For the last spot, I'm between District 9 and Crazy Heart. All signs point to D9, but it's not really their thing, so I don't know what to make of it. And Crazy Heart's buzz is building....<br /><br />I'm still not convinced that A Serious Man will make the cut. Call me crazy, but that's my gut feeling.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-40849435489276162822010-02-01T23:18:25.010-05:002010-02-01T23:18:25.010-05:00I have a bad feeling 500 Days of Summer is going t...I have a bad feeling 500 Days of Summer is going to be left out of Original Screenplay..Mike Fnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-77924473745783893812010-02-01T23:16:39.705-05:002010-02-01T23:16:39.705-05:00I think Mirren is in. I don't buy the whole &q...I think Mirren is in. I don't buy the whole "nobody has seen the Last Station", 'cause she was nominated for a SAG, and you need more people to watch your movie for a SAG nod than an Oscar.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-75448189263966265442010-02-01T22:50:46.661-05:002010-02-01T22:50:46.661-05:00I'm feeling Mackie too. Damon, McKay, Plummer...I'm feeling Mackie too. Damon, McKay, Plummer, Tucci feel like they peaked ages ago. And hopefully they're looking for places to honor <i>Hurt Locker</i> since it's the front-runner.Marsha Masonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12029597754334771121noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-40453792817657186912010-02-01T22:45:15.156-05:002010-02-01T22:45:15.156-05:00Yeah Nathaniel, Randy Newman's score was ruled...Yeah Nathaniel, Randy Newman's score was ruled ineligible because it's mostly songs. So I wouldn't predict it ; )<br /><br />Also, why are <em>Fantastic Mr. Fox</em> and <em>District 9</em> nowhere near your adapted screenplay predictions?? I think they'll be the final two nominees (<em>Crazy Heart</em> would be my alternate choice).<br /><br />I think the Gyllenhaal prediction may well pay off, though.adam k.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13485604493059621307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-22446555685959240502010-02-01T22:37:03.638-05:002010-02-01T22:37:03.638-05:00A few "surprises" that I'm predictin...A few "surprises" that I'm predicting:<br /><br />"Up" will NOT be nominated for Best Picture, but "The Hangover" will.<br /><br />Tobey Maguire will be nominated for Best Actor (Freeman will not).<br /><br />The Academy will go crazy for "Crazy Heart" (Picture, Actor, Actress, and Screenplay)<br /><br />Anthony Mackie will be nominated for Supporting Actor, as will Matt Damon for Invictus (I'm not feeling this Tucci or McKay love)<br /><br />And finally, since we need one horrible pick every year: "Avatar" will be nominated for Best Original Screenplay :(Phil W.https://www.blogger.com/profile/00080007795720249834noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-85655797833296146242010-02-01T22:34:21.300-05:002010-02-01T22:34:21.300-05:00i'm thinking Julie & Julia could actually ...i'm thinking Julie & Julia could actually make the final cut and get a Best Picture nod.brandznoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-54228632575413361402010-02-01T22:28:07.291-05:002010-02-01T22:28:07.291-05:00Maybe it's me, but Blind Side seems less Acade...Maybe it's me, but <i>Blind Side</i> seems less Academy stupid (e.g. <i>The Reader</i>) and more stupid stupid (e.g. <i>Step Up 2 Da Streets</i>), so I'm really hoping it doesn't get in. <br /><br />My guesses for the final two are <i>District 9</i> (good year for sci-fi, and helped by <i>Avatar</i>) and <i>Crazy Heart</i> (more their type.)Marsha Masonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12029597754334771121noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-92127653781980161862010-02-01T22:19:39.574-05:002010-02-01T22:19:39.574-05:00My predictions:
http://fenixpahediblogpage.blogsp...My predictions:<br /><br />http://fenixpahediblogpage.blogspot.com/<br /><br />Not too many risky choices.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-39718499483891304592010-02-01T22:13:16.486-05:002010-02-01T22:13:16.486-05:00Nathaniel:
* "District 9"'s screenp...Nathaniel: <br />* "District 9"'s screenplay is adapted (it was nominated as such by BAFTA and Scripter).<br />* The score from "The Princess And The Frog" was disqualified by the Academy.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-2980338772186596582010-02-01T22:11:26.438-05:002010-02-01T22:11:26.438-05:00if The Blind Side makes the final cut for Best Pic...if The Blind Side makes the final cut for Best Picture nomination, does this give Bullock a leg up on Best Actress? Conversly, if Julie & Julia makes Best Picture cut, does this give Streep a leg up on Best Actress win?brandznoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-87804668965642749862010-02-01T22:10:28.976-05:002010-02-01T22:10:28.976-05:00Nathaniel, The Princess and the Frog score was rul...Nathaniel, The Princess and the Frog score was ruled inelegible by the Academy Music Branch and their crazy rules.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04579601744975928548noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-418352007157360812010-02-01T22:09:55.553-05:002010-02-01T22:09:55.553-05:00Nathaniel, The Princess and the Frog score was rul...Nathaniel, The Princess and the Frog score was ruled inelegible by the Academy Music Branch and their crazy rules.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04579601744975928548noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-89909618969145543452010-02-01T22:04:45.879-05:002010-02-01T22:04:45.879-05:00i'm pretty sure, or at least i hope it happens...i'm pretty sure, or at least i hope it happens, that the spot you gave to blind side will belong to district 9 come tomorrow morning. <br />all your other contenders seem like the ones they'll pick.Amirhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06862108887275338771noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-19307269162643731742010-02-01T19:13:19.359-05:002010-02-01T19:13:19.359-05:00I'm predicting Up is out, Nine is in.
I just ...I'm predicting Up is out, Nine is in.<br /><br />I just can't picture many Academy members bothering to put Up in their top 3 or 4 when they're certainly not going to do it for final balloting.Jake Dnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-82322969815738833222010-02-01T19:07:52.797-05:002010-02-01T19:07:52.797-05:00Oops that didn't work. I'm expecting "...Oops that didn't work. I'm expecting "Inglourious Basterds" and "Avatar" to tie for most nominations, and I'm actually predicting an "Invictus" snub, which is probably wishful thinking (as is putting "500 Days of Summer" in my top 10 for Best Picture)<br /><br />As long as Diane Kruger and Jeremy Renner are nominated I'll be satisfied. <br /><br /><a rel="nofollow">http://magnifyinglass.wordpress.com/2010/02/01/2010-oscar-predictions/</a>Travishttp://magnifyinglass.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-48791615311559185282010-02-01T19:04:09.051-05:002010-02-01T19:04:09.051-05:00Here's my predictions:Here's my predictions: <a href="http://magnifyinglass.wordpress.com/2010/02/01/2010-oscar-predictions/" rel="nofollow"></a>Travishttp://magnifyinglass.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-57546740718346285502010-02-01T18:43:31.346-05:002010-02-01T18:43:31.346-05:00It figures they expand to 10 under the (misguided)...It figures they expand to 10 under the (misguided) notion that populist BP nominees would help ratings in the year that The Biggest Grosser Ever would have been a shoo-in for a nod in a 5-film list...or, hell, a 2-film list. It serves them right when "Fighting" becomes a BP nominee tomorrow.PPO-10https://www.blogger.com/profile/13766071468633616319noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-4378441580049462482010-02-01T18:26:04.380-05:002010-02-01T18:26:04.380-05:00I live in a beautiful world where Avatar gets no n...I live in a beautiful world where Avatar gets no nominations in major categories. In my world, that opens up slots in Best Picture for films that actually deserve it. Come to my world.GregWAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10086104087278162657noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-30319821672556437292010-02-01T17:25:08.055-05:002010-02-01T17:25:08.055-05:00Sandra Bullock has received two Razzie nominations...Sandra Bullock has received two Razzie nominations for All About Steve (Worst Actress, Worst Screen Couple). Will this hurt her Oscar chances for The Blind Side?John D.noreply@blogger.com