tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post361616931498069643..comments2024-03-17T10:11:46.952-04:00Comments on Film Experience Blog: Oscar Prediction RevisionsNATHANIEL Rhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comBlogger123125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-52858871281892741492008-11-27T06:04:00.000-05:002008-11-27T06:04:00.000-05:00Hey Nat, great predictions. It just seems loke you...Hey Nat, great predictions. It just seems loke you're underestimating Cate Blanchett, who appears to be a solid bet for a Lead Actress nomination.<BR/>As for Clint Eastwood, I agree that Gran Torino doesn't look very Oscary. <BR/>By the way, I was looking for the2004 Oscar pages to read your past comments on Clint Eastwood and Million Dollar Baby, but I can't find them anywhere.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-35624245237914859692008-11-26T15:34:00.000-05:002008-11-26T15:34:00.000-05:00It seems like pundits are devided on whether or no...It seems like pundits are devided on whether or not DiCaprio will be nominated. I find his buzz most confusing. There are some who say he is a LOCK and may very well win, and some who say he is amazing in the role, but they're not sure he will be nominated...<BR/><BR/>What will happen? :/<BR/><BR/>- MWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-37246938724153637842008-11-26T11:43:00.000-05:002008-11-26T11:43:00.000-05:00Almost every review of TCCOBB predicts a Best Actr...Almost every review of TCCOBB predicts a Best Actress nod for Cate Blanchett.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-60840546833497396422008-11-25T01:46:00.000-05:002008-11-25T01:46:00.000-05:00"I haven't seen Slumdog Millionaire or Milk yet"Ne..."I haven't seen Slumdog Millionaire or Milk yet"<BR/><BR/>Neither has 99.999% of the world's population, but that - for better or worse - doesn't stop them having opinions on it and what they think others' opinions will be.Glennhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08194113062830373898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-71683852737366307052008-11-24T22:47:00.000-05:002008-11-24T22:47:00.000-05:00It's cause you were for Taraji before you were aga...It's cause you were <EM>for</EM> Taraji before you were <EM>against</EM> her.adam k.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13485604493059621307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-25227578872017246182008-11-24T21:34:00.000-05:002008-11-24T21:34:00.000-05:00Slumdog doesn't stand a chance.Slumdog doesn't stand a chance.Dantanielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02816449157690659132noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-65129013119248375532008-11-24T16:43:00.000-05:002008-11-24T16:43:00.000-05:00i love that when i put taraji in the top five peop...i love that when i put taraji in the top five people complained it wasn't cate or tilda and then as soon as i take her out people complain about that too<BR/><BR/>you really can't win with oscar predictions<BR/><BR/>ANYWAY...<BR/><BR/>the truth is the buzz has been wildly up and down and I changed the page after hearing one of the downs which was immediately followed by the In contention/awards daily BUTTON loving frenzy.<BR/><BR/>this time of year. such a rollercoaster.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-64757383013240677392008-11-24T14:42:00.000-05:002008-11-24T14:42:00.000-05:00I think "The Reader" has a better chance than some...I think "The Reader" has a better chance than some claim... every year there is atleast one period piece for BP and with a hot director and amazing performances to boot, it might get a BP nod and a handful of other nomms.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-59145402931723522792008-11-24T14:40:00.000-05:002008-11-24T14:40:00.000-05:00I really like your choices... they match mine qui...I really like your choices... they match mine quite closely ... nothing to argue about!?!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-29679324422969446332008-11-24T12:21:00.000-05:002008-11-24T12:21:00.000-05:00I agree that there's no reason for Henson to be in...I agree that there's no reason for Henson to be in blue, or even out of the top 5, really. Why the sudden loss of the faith? I think after Cruz, Davis, Winslet, she's right up there in the next tier. Whether she edges out Tomei and Dewitt will depend largely on whose movie is best received by AMPAS, and I think it's safe to say they'll be more into <EM>Button</EM> than <EM>Rachel</EM> or <EM>The Wrestler</EM>. But I'd have those 6 as the main contenders for the 5 slots.<BR/><BR/>Brad & Cate, too, should probably at least be in red. If the movie's huge, they could easily both make it. I think Cate's still 7th behind the top 6, but not a terribly distant 7th, if the buzz is to be believed. And Brad should be no lower than about 7th, as well.adam k.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13485604493059621307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-36637008930197660252008-11-24T08:15:00.000-05:002008-11-24T08:15:00.000-05:00rc, i hope for that every year. Alas...<B>rc</B>, i hope for that every year. Alas...NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-3579403010733457392008-11-24T03:21:00.000-05:002008-11-24T03:21:00.000-05:00i agree with the majority of your oscar prediction...i agree with the majority of your oscar predictions. however, i would not put dustin hoffman or hugh jackman at better odds than brad pitt this year. <BR/>also, you have published your first predictions of the entire year with henson out of best supp actress! i still think shes a lock. although the competition is rounding up, no one seems as certain except cruz and davis. putting her in the blue, harsh! <BR/>also, i would ex out doubt from my best picture top five. im not saying its impossible, but im putting it in 8th-10th placeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-35390523179959881742008-11-24T00:37:00.000-05:002008-11-24T00:37:00.000-05:00it really is a tricky oscar best pic year.i hope t...it really is a tricky oscar best pic year.<BR/><BR/>i hope the precursors are diversified in their choices...so we have some mysteries on oscar nod day.RChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11340006144797496514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-69239999218661421832008-11-23T20:44:00.000-05:002008-11-23T20:44:00.000-05:00what about the wrestler. i thought that would be a...what about the wrestler. i thought that would be a lock for picture, actor,director, and screenplay. i haven't seen the movie yet but i think it looks amazing.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-67264908714200681392008-11-23T18:57:00.000-05:002008-11-23T18:57:00.000-05:00well i am sure it will not come close to the unnom...well i am sure it will not come close to the unnominated brilliance of that performance still my fave of hers.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-60067686119702295492008-11-23T18:27:00.000-05:002008-11-23T18:27:00.000-05:00mrripley: many reviewers said Nic's performance in...mrripley: many reviewers said Nic's performance in the first part of Australia resembles her performance in To Die For. <BR/><BR/>-Tiger-Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-27399352571635257342008-11-23T17:27:00.000-05:002008-11-23T17:27:00.000-05:00i looking forward to seeing milk this week, traile...i looking forward to seeing milk this week, trailer looks fantastic and it is so topical right now<BR/><BR/>does sean penn have a chance at winning? he won just 3 yrs ago<BR/><BR/>nathaniel - sorry i called u nate earlier, apologies, big fan and i've been reading your blog for yrsMurtadahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13708403648510141998noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-60434502714413939692008-11-23T17:03:00.000-05:002008-11-23T17:03:00.000-05:00Hey Nathaniel -- is Slumdog really close to a lock...Hey Nathaniel -- is Slumdog really close to a lock? I've been doubting its BP chances (I feel better predicting Boyle for the lone directing spot) but maybe I'm just being a sour puss?Andy Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03289238932347069993noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-27121533837987138102008-11-23T16:30:00.000-05:002008-11-23T16:30:00.000-05:00i think kidman has hit a rough patch i dunno why,s...i think kidman has hit a rough patch i dunno why,she seems to be picking roles which do not suit her,i much prefer mid 90's to die for nicole or 01 moulin rouge nicole.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-53166958067819889732008-11-23T15:46:00.000-05:002008-11-23T15:46:00.000-05:00I can't wait to read what sort of problems the mov...I can't wait to read what sort of problems the movie had for you. I'm wondering if they're the same as everyone else's (disjointed scenes, cheesiness, etc). I've read very good things about Nic's performance, but it seems you don't like it at all. I know the first 20 minutes or so she is supposed to have heightened comedy, and you think that didn't work? Grr I'm etching to know! You were the one blogger I thought for sure would love it. I'm hoping on repeat viewings it will be looked at differently by critics and such.<BR/><BR/>-Tiger-Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-45778987552128258452008-11-23T15:26:00.000-05:002008-11-23T15:26:00.000-05:00Catherine, my thoughts exactly. I want to watch th...Catherine, my thoughts exactly. I want to watch them NOW!<BR/><BR/>JimAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-47405946913543524832008-11-23T15:25:00.000-05:002008-11-23T15:25:00.000-05:00If the reviews are true, maybe Cate Blanchett will...If the reviews are true, maybe Cate Blanchett will get another Oscar Nomination, even the win... If Kate and Meryl will have split votes, Cate could get that weakness and became the winner. I'm her fan, though I think she didn't get the lead Oscar Nomination last year instead Angelina Jolie, Amy Adams and Tang Wei... Even if TCCOBB has some love we same the eighth partner oscar winners in Leading Oscars: Brad Pitt (The name of the film) and Cate Blanchett (His lover). But maybe I talk too soon...<BR/><BR/>I never see Kidman nominated, even if Australia gets a Best Picture and Director nominations (A la Master and Commander/10 Nominations including Picutre and Director but without acting nominations). Maybe the next year with "the Danish Girl".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-30979823175211716652008-11-23T15:13:00.000-05:002008-11-23T15:13:00.000-05:00I have to say, I love all this Oscar chat but it's...I have to say, I love all this Oscar chat but it's super frustrating living in a country where most of the stuff we're discussing won't be shown until the new year. I wish there was some kind of structured global release date for every film. Gah.Catherinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09258493877737555910noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-43463173142853357852008-11-23T14:25:00.000-05:002008-11-23T14:25:00.000-05:00I'll just wait and judge Michael Shannon for mysel...I'll just wait and judge Michael Shannon for myself then, since all you're saying is "he was great, he's getting in, trust me." He was incredible in "Bug" though, so I get that he could have a nomination in him, but I haven't seen anyone champion a nomination for him except for here giving him lock status. The story's always been Kate and Leo with maybe some scraps thrown to Kathy Bates. I think we're going to see a couple of lead in supporting's clothes in this category this year -- Michael Sheen, Dev Patel, and Philip Seymour Hoffman all circling for nods. Throw in Bill Irwin or Alan Alda or Peter O'Toole in the vet slot, or maybe some love for the "Milk" guys, and all of them occupying the "thanks for being nominated" positions to an inevitable Heath Ledger victory.<BR/><BR/>I never had Nicole Kidman in my predictions. I saw the writing on the wall for her after her "Cold Mountain" snub that they were done nominating her, and that saddens me considering that I love her work and fully support her Oscar win. Nor did I have Cate Blanchett in my predictions. I'll never grow tired of her being nominated though. The Meryl-in-waiting has to get her nomination tallies to the double digits, dammit! :) But "BB" looks like it's Brad's show. 6 performances, 5 slots for lead actress like we've all called it. It'll be some combination of Meryl, Kate, Angelina, KST, Sally, and Anne.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-38536596471161092862008-11-23T14:17:00.000-05:002008-11-23T14:17:00.000-05:00I'd like to know how many of the Anons saying that...I'd like to know how many of the Anons saying that Australia is THE movie of the year have actually seen it? It is just wishful thinking? There haven't been that many raves of this movie. Many reviewers seem to be respectful of the effort but feel it falls short. Those are not the words of THE movie of the year. And not everybody is gushing over Kidman's performance either.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com