tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post7978024513645943533..comments2024-03-17T10:11:46.952-04:00Comments on Film Experience Blog: "Actress Psychic" ~ 3 Days Left to EnterNATHANIEL Rhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comBlogger38125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-49505498419829394402009-03-31T02:22:00.000-04:002009-03-31T02:22:00.000-04:00Oops - I goofed. Laura Linney was 14th in the Act...Oops - I goofed. Laura Linney was 14th in the Actress Psychic balloting that first year. For some reason I thought she was in the top nine. The age thing is creeping up on my memory with no-longer-glacial speed...Carlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-5303649915689749832009-03-31T02:08:00.000-04:002009-03-31T02:08:00.000-04:00Nathaniel:I am still sticking with my "no more tha...Nathaniel:<BR/><BR/>I am still sticking with my "no more than two of five" from the consensus to the eventual shortlist, but I am becoming intrigued by your earlier suggestion that the current totals show a relatively solid break between the top nine and what you have characterized in the past as 'vote siphoners'. While the consensus five have shown the tendency to have only two survivors, I believe that the top nine or so have had four of the eventual nominees the last two years. So on the original question from the first contest, which asks whether the consensus does a credible job, I'd have to say yes. <BR/><BR/>And I am truly surprised.Carlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-87089734951718024982009-03-31T00:03:00.000-04:002009-03-31T00:03:00.000-04:00So my predictions will be:Best Lead Actress:1. Hel...So my predictions will be:<BR/><BR/>Best Lead Actress:<BR/><BR/>1. Helen Mirren, The Tempest:<BR/><BR/>She has two juicy roles (With Love Ranch) but I think her Prospera will get the recognition. The only thing she won't have it will be split votes.<BR/><BR/>2. Sophie Okonedo, Skin:<BR/><BR/>With Kedalla, Berry, Sidibe and her, it's time for return to a black actress (Not necessary american)... I think Okonedo has the most Oscarish role. She plays a real character (Victim for Apartheid) and she gets two spots (diversity and british).<BR/><BR/>3. American star:<BR/><BR/>Difficult, I heard AWFUL things of Amelia at test screeners, so -if the tendency is correct- maybe Swank chances will be for Betty Ann Waters- but I'm agree with Adam K., if Vivian Leigh didn't make it, Why Hilary Swank will do it?. I also don't think Meryl Streep will make it (she will win but for August: osage County or The Glass Menagerie adaptation). Hollywood loves mini comebacks so I say:<BR/><BR/>Renee Zellweger, With any of her two films<BR/><BR/>4. The IT girl:<BR/><BR/>Mulligan films was acclaimed at Sundance, but she could be another "Frozen River" or another "QuinceaƱera" or worse, suffering the Kristin Scott Thomas's curse. Abbie Cornish's film is still too unknow. Saorsie Ronan could be nominated for supporting actress and Ellen page's film is too indie and "relax" for AMPAS. So I think she will be:<BR/><BR/>Natalie Portman, Brothers:<BR/>-Sheridan has excellent record at acting nominees.<BR/>-Her role is a perfect suffering mother and wife.<BR/>-She could be the first Asian actress nominated for a Lead Oscar (Portman was born in Jerusalem and she has dual nationality)<BR/>-She has a NAME in Hollywood and she was nominated before.<BR/><BR/>5. Giovanna Mezzogiorno, Vincere: <BR/><BR/>If Hollywood wants another foreign-language performance, Mezzogiorno is the biggest possibility (Especially if the film won at Cannes-according with rumors).<BR/><BR/>Alternative: A surprising contender.<BR/><BR/>About NINE James Colon, I don't think this Marshall's film will be empty for acting category. I think this would be AT LEAST one nomination (A veteran actress in supproting: Dench or Loren). The cast is TOO big and important too ignore, even if the film is mixed. I also think if the film is very likely, even beloved, would broke the Tom Jones's record and we'll have three actress nominated in suporting category with Day-Lewis in leading category (i wouldn't be surprising if the film is the most nominated of the year). Plus: The sentimental factor... Harvey Weinstein is back and Anthony Minghella behind the strategy.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-40088850579755628752009-03-30T23:41:00.000-04:002009-03-30T23:41:00.000-04:00I must be nuts: - 5 Brits- 1 in a language other t...I must be nuts: <BR/><BR/>- 5 Brits<BR/>- 1 in a language other than English<BR/>- 1 black actress<BR/><BR/>- 1 in her 20s<BR/>- 2 in their late 30s/early 40s<BR/>- 1 in her late 40s<BR/>- 1 in her mid-60s<BR/><BR/>- 1 real person<BR/>- 2 literary characters<BR/><BR/>- 3 previous nominees<BR/>- 1 previous winnerPaul Outlawhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14223551781533342142noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-65879839235909455272009-03-30T23:37:00.000-04:002009-03-30T23:37:00.000-04:00I clasified the categories of Lead Actress contend...I clasified the categories of Lead Actress contenders:<BR/><BR/>*The classic veteran actress:<BR/>-Brenda Blethyn<BR/>-Michelle Pfeiffer<BR/>-Helen Mirren (I vote for The "Tempest", but I don't discount "Love Ranch")<BR/>-(Again) Meryl Streep<BR/><BR/>*The romantic (Epic) heroin:<BR/>-Abbie Cornish<BR/>-Romola Garai<BR/>-Rachel McAdams - After Benjamin button sucess...<BR/>-Emily Blunt<BR/>-Carey Mulligan<BR/>-Natalie Portman<BR/><BR/>*The Real Life Characters:<BR/>-Abbie Cornish<BR/>-Sophie Okonedo<BR/>-audrey Tautou<BR/>-Giovanna Mezzogiorno<BR/>-Liya Kebede<BR/>-Emily Blunt<BR/>-Hilary Swank (With two roles: Amelia Earhart and Betty Ann-A la Erin Brockovitz-Waters)<BR/>-Emily Watson<BR/>-Rachel Weisz<BR/>-Renee Zellweger (Again like Swank two roles, Dahan and Loncraine's films)<BR/>-Meryl Streep<BR/>-Ziyi Zhang<BR/>-Kate Hudson<BR/>-Claire Danes<BR/>-"Halle Berry" (I heard so, but I'm not sure)<BR/>-Julie Delpy<BR/><BR/>Foreign Language Character:<BR/>-(Again) Kristin Scott Thomas, in Partir (With Sergi Lopez)<BR/>-Giovanna Mezzogiorno<BR/>-Ziyi Zhang<BR/>-Audrey Tautou<BR/>-Birgit Minichmayr<BR/>-Sandra Corveloni (Cannes winner's last year)<BR/><BR/>*The indie and/or surprising actress at the middle of the season: We still don't know...<BR/><BR/>*Comedy Roles:<BR/>-Renee Zellweger, My one and Only<BR/>-Sally hawkins (A make-up nomination?)<BR/>-Evan Rachel Wood (Another make-up possible nomination)<BR/>-Maya Rudolph (She could be the seventh comediant from SNL nominated to the Oscars, but I think the first when she's still in the show)<BR/>-Jessica Biel<BR/>-Michelle Pfeiffer (according to the trailer)<BR/>-Ellen Page<BR/><BR/>*Suffering Heroin, Wife and/or Mother:<BR/>-Brenda Blethyn<BR/>-Natalie Portman<BR/>-Giovanna Mezzogiorno<BR/>-Hilary Swank (BAW)<BR/>-Cameron Diaz<BR/>-Romola Garai<BR/>-sophie Okonedo<BR/>-Emily WatsonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-25591385998273477962009-03-30T14:41:00.000-04:002009-03-30T14:41:00.000-04:00Isn't Cornish Australian?Isn't Cornish Australian?Wayne B.noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-70716996991854797902009-03-30T07:49:00.000-04:002009-03-30T07:49:00.000-04:00And 3 American's and 2 Brits.Curious how alike it ...And 3 American's and 2 Brits.<BR/><BR/>Curious how alike it is to the colective (as guessed by Bernardo).Runs Like A Gayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11170144191875296336noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-31102099825796519592009-03-30T07:45:00.000-04:002009-03-30T07:45:00.000-04:00I've just realised I came at the bottom of last ye...I've just realised I came at the bottom of last years list (by a huge margin).<BR/><BR/>I'm beginning to regret my choices for this year already - I doubt any of them will be in the top five predictions. Why don't I try to fit the consensus more - then I'd at least be clos to the rest of the pack when I get them wrong.<BR/><BR/>Although saying that I also have 3 real people and 2 from literary sources. 2 previous winners, 1 previous nominee and 2 new faces. <BR/><BR/>Maybe it's not so poor after all.Runs Like A Gayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11170144191875296336noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-46718128595273357062009-03-30T07:30:00.000-04:002009-03-30T07:30:00.000-04:00Christine... you are not. There are relatively few...Christine... you are not. There are relatively few women who have only one vote ... though we're now up to 60 actresses on <I>someone's</I> ballot. <BR/><BR/><B>tier 1</B> has 5 women. a clearly defined top 5. How strange.<BR/><BR/><B>tier 2</B> has 4 women who almost have a whole lot of support<BR/><BR/><B>tier 3</B> has 8 more women who are in the double digits of ballots.<BR/><BR/>and the other 43 women are fighting for the scraps of the ballots...NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-4939847581511436082009-03-30T00:13:00.000-04:002009-03-30T00:13:00.000-04:00The Nine bonus question caused me a lot of indecis...The Nine bonus question caused me a lot of indecision. I agree that one of the actresses will prob. be pushed into a lead category, and Kidman seems like the obvious choice, even with her small role, but I still voted for her as best supporting. I don't think Cruz will be pushed into lead contention because she has a shot for that with Broken Embraces. <BR/> <BR/>Am I the only one who thought Mirren might get nominated for Love Ranch?Christinenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-60309437124060606182009-03-29T20:37:00.000-04:002009-03-29T20:37:00.000-04:00Or better yet E... she might compose a song for a ...Or better yet E... she might compose a song for a film (not necessarily NINE) and be nominated for it. ;)Fernando Mossnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-17001034151614493322009-03-29T20:13:00.000-04:002009-03-29T20:13:00.000-04:00She can have another GrammyShe can have another GrammyEnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-3761425838167770462009-03-29T20:11:00.000-04:002009-03-29T20:11:00.000-04:00E But what about Fergie???<B>E</B> But what about Fergie???NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-11709309271845278292009-03-29T19:18:00.000-04:002009-03-29T19:18:00.000-04:00my prediction is just gee-nee-us. what would be a ...my prediction is just gee-nee-us. what would be a better way to reward all nine ladies than this?<BR/><BR/>PENELOPE CRUZ (Broken Embraces) and KATE HUDSON (Big Eyes) in Best Actress (Lead) and then...<BR/><BR/>MARION COTILLARD (Public Enemies), JUDI DENCH (Rage), NICOLE KIDMAN (Nine) and SOPHIA LOREN (Nine) in Best Supporting Actress.<BR/><BR/>Just Mad Genius don't you think?Enoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-54302167333306968152009-03-29T01:37:00.000-04:002009-03-29T01:37:00.000-04:00I wouldn't be THAT surprised if Penelope Cruz pull...I wouldn't be THAT surprised if Penelope Cruz pulled off a second foreign-language Lead performance nomination. It's happened thrice before: Sophia Loren, Isabelle Adjani and Liv Ullmann. Each beautiful, hypnotic actresses greatly respected in their home countries; much like Cruz now.Wayne B.noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-24575843308288526492009-03-29T01:09:00.000-04:002009-03-29T01:09:00.000-04:00I refuse to predict Hilary Swank, not only since i...I refuse to predict Hilary Swank, not only since it seems too obvious on paper, but also because I really think the academy is done with her for quite a while, possibly forever. There's still too much backlash from the two wins. Like Sally Field, she may get some globe noms, but oscar voters just won't be able to muster up quite enough enthusiasm to bring her back. I think she gets the globe drama nod this year, but no corresponding oscar stamp of approval.<BR/><BR/>I also don't think Cruz can make it in for ANOTHER Pedro adventure. Once was enough of a coup. Two foreign language lead nods for one actress is a very rare thing. And it's not like she's exactly "due" anymore.<BR/><BR/>So for those reasons, I doubt mine will match up with the generic choices.<BR/><BR/>What I'm having trouble with is which film to predict Meryl for. Both will get attention... but neither may get enough for a nod. And which category is Julia Child?? I think the quality of the Nancy Meyers film may be what decides the category placement for <EM>Julie & Julia</EM>. Child will most likely outshine the other perf regardless. So if the romantic comedy doesn't have the "oomph" for oscar heat, then it's lead for Julia. <BR/><BR/>But when I try to think of which comedy performances will get nommed, I keep coming back to Meryl in the Nancy Meyers movie. If it's great, could she really be nommed twice? Or will it turn into another 2002 almost double nom situation? Or will it get shafted for the biopic no matter how good it is?<BR/><BR/>GAAAAAAAHadam k.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13485604493059621307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-85720913030234157422009-03-29T00:59:00.000-04:002009-03-29T00:59:00.000-04:00I think Mulligan will get overlooked. I don't thin...I think Mulligan will get overlooked. I don't think her film even has a distributor yet.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-17918839703403104752009-03-28T23:33:00.000-04:002009-03-28T23:33:00.000-04:00I'm guessing that the Collective Prediction is...I'm guessing that the Collective Prediction is...<BR/><BR/>Mulligan<BR/>Pfeiffer<BR/>Streep for Julie & Julia<BR/>Swank<BR/><BR/>The last spot is weird, though...<BR/><BR/>Connelly, Cornish, Cruz, Mirren (The Tempest), Portman (either) or Tatou?<BR/><BR/>Maybe Cornish?<BR/><BR/>Cornish, Mulligan, Pfeiffer, Streep and Swank<BR/><BR/>2 Previous Winners<BR/>1 Previous Nominee<BR/>2 New Faces<BR/><BR/>3 Americans<BR/>2 Brits<BR/><BR/>3 Real Life Characters<BR/>1 Original Character<BR/>1 Literary Character<BR/><BR/>Sounds strangely likely...Bernardohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04535653809166347030noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-79293112077274248782009-03-28T22:56:00.000-04:002009-03-28T22:56:00.000-04:00Pfiffer, Streep, Adams, Tattou, and probably some ...Pfiffer, <BR/>Streep, <BR/>Adams, <BR/>Tattou, <BR/>and probably some unexpected new shining star that will come about sometime in lat november. but, for now I will say...<BR/>PortmanChris Na Tarajahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06545312034833563234noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-67136777005753636602009-03-28T21:08:00.000-04:002009-03-28T21:08:00.000-04:00Hey,Cheri!So you left Lea for Meryl.heheHey,Cheri!<BR/>So you left Lea for Meryl.heheAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-7858841051052187332009-03-28T20:18:00.000-04:002009-03-28T20:18:00.000-04:00Nothing on Vera Farmiga in the Niki Caro movie? I'...Nothing on Vera Farmiga in the Niki Caro movie? I'm not sure I'll predict her, but Caro is 2/2 as far as Best Actress nominees go.Joe Reidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06825174217179302019noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-89481604431762488782009-03-28T19:57:00.000-04:002009-03-28T19:57:00.000-04:00Michelle Pfeiffer for "Cheri" I'm convinced.Michelle Pfeiffer for "Cheri" I'm convinced.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-5321910246883611952009-03-28T18:44:00.000-04:002009-03-28T18:44:00.000-04:002009 is the year for Meryl Streep. This woman can ...2009 is the year for Meryl Streep. This woman can play any role! What a class act and a hard act to follow...go Meryl!Cherihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12434256434617704014noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-31519024043425710552009-03-28T18:19:00.000-04:002009-03-28T18:19:00.000-04:00mrripley... i can't reveal yet. not fair to influe...mrripley... i can't reveal yet. not fair to influence people's choices since some of you have already entered blind.NATHANIEL Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11597109147678235399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8256060.post-15620568313286476122009-03-28T17:56:00.000-04:002009-03-28T17:56:00.000-04:00ok nay who r the top 5 and who is the 1 person you...ok nay who r the top 5 and who is the 1 person you r surprised is left out.mrripleynoreply@blogger.com