"oh please let this envelope contain my name!"Sweet glamour puss in your emerald dress. It probably won't happen for you or Atonement this year. But who knows? There's only five names for each category and there's been seven names refusing to fall out of the race in almost every category. It's been a fascinating and rewarding film year but a confounding one for Oscar Predictions. Which is pretty fun if you stop to really consider the point of predicting. If it's too easy, why bother? Just wait for the news.
Usually by this time there is often a clear shortlist in each category with maybe one person or film here or there threatening to "spoil" suddenly ... like say supporting actor this year. That's typically "settled" with one or two upsets-in-waiting if the voters are feeling frisky. But this year: Best Picture itself has but one lock. Crazy. Anything could fall out.
I blame this rather upset-possible lineup on distribution patterns (as I am prone to do) and on the weird fact that it was NOT a year that cried wolf. The December films turned out to be strong. Yet they all got off to such a late start that it's been very difficult to separate manufactured hype from honest to god great buzz.Read the rest...
for final thoughts and predictions and projected nomination tallies
Posts
59 comments:
How am I first? Hasn't everyone been reloading all night?
That schizo conversation between the critics, the media, and Oscar is uproarious, and so so so true.
i don't want to predict cate blanchett for elizabeth. is it bad to do it out of protest? ;)
I've been getting odd feelings all day about this thing. Perhaps my personal predix are packed with too many surprises.
I woke up this morning and on my lips was "David Fincher" I just feel this. The free fall of Lumet and Burton, the directors with their good taste.
Gosling I root for in the worst way. It seems like Depp may fall out. Great actor -- the man can't sing.
And I'm putting Linney in there too. All be damned. I mean, seriously, who's ranking that Cate Blanchett cr@pfest higher than 4th?
Great predix. I'm excited for them this year
I think your predictions for Pic, Director and all the acting spots are almost exactly the way I have them figured. I'm really glad you included Into the Wild noms... this is the one I am wondering whether the Oscars might snub
It was one of my favorites of the year.
Nate & Zee from the Bafta nominations thread: I love you both, everything you guys said was so true.I hope things get better as far as the online community. Maybe MLK day will be a reminder for us all to reflect upon ourselves in hopes of becoming better individuals. Ryan Adams from Awards Daily just posted a great review of AG.
As far as nominations: My Picks for what I think the Academy will go for.
Pic
Atonement-Everyone's counting it out , but Sweeney is more out than this.
Juno=The Little film that could
No Country for Old Men=Lock
There Will Be Blood=Lock
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly=The surprise
Director
Julian Schnabel
Sean Penn
Coen Bros.
P.T. Anderson
Sidney Lumet- I think he may surprise
Actor
George Clooney=WHY :-\
Viggo Mortenson
Daniel Day Lewis
Johnny Depp=Definitely not his best performance , but I think he'll get in
Emile Hirsch- I think he could get in instead of Gosling and James
Actress
Angelina Jolie
Ellen Page
Julie Christie
Marion Cotillard
Tang Wei=I'm thinking she could surprise
Supp. Actor
Javier Bardem
The rest just seem pointless at this point:
Casey Affleck
Hal Holbrook
Tom Wilkinson
Paul Dano=Surprise
Supp Actress
Cate Blanchett
Amy Ryan
Kelly Macdonald=Surprise
Tilda Swinton
Ruby Dee
I think you will regret knocking out Lars for Knocked Up. The latter is EXACTLY the kind of mainstream crowd-pleasing comedy the WGA has nominated and oscar has ignored. And the former is EXACTLY the kind of quirky indie that oscar is predisposed to nominating.
The same thing happened with Apatow's 40 Year Old Virgin and Devil Wears Prada, both shut out. Knocked Up won't get nominated.
A Fincher nod would be interesting, and with Burton , Scott, Lumet, and even Wright suddenly freefalling, it actually seems very possible.
And I think Johnny Depp can sing quite well... I don't think he LET himself sing a lot of the time. But his voice is nice, and he was making an effort, unlike HBC who sustained a note precisely ONCE throughout the whole score, and was flat the whole time. Really pisses me off, too, cause her interpretation was so brilliant whenever she wasn't singing.
F that.. No guts No Glory predictions.
Christian Bale ( Lead)For Rescue Dawn
Steve Zahn (supporting) for Rescue Dawn
Josh Brolin ( Lead ) No country
Zodiac for Best Picture
shutout
Into the Wild
I'm sticking to my guns.
Amy Adams will get the fifth slot.
Jennifer Garner will surprise us in supporting.
Michael Clayton will just miss the Best Pic top 5.
Those, in my opinion, will be the surprises. :)
leslie; Thanks for the shout out. As you say, we can only live in hope that things will improve.
I just read Ryan Adams review of American Gangster that you cited, and it's utterly, utterly outstanding critical evaluation. The most concise, pinpoint and intelligent dissection of that film that I've seen by anyone to date. He put many more experienced and professional critics to shame with that piece (and that includes those arguing for the film in the affirmative and well as the negative). Anyone still "confused" about why people can find intellectual and cinematic merit in American Gangster, simply need to read Adams' review, and they'll be given a crash course in first-rate critical analysis.
As for nominations
Best Pic
Atonement (the Brit voting contingent will get this in, imho)
No Country For Old Men
Juno
There Will Be Blood
Michael Clayton
Best Actor
DDL
George Clooney
Viggo Mortensen
Emile Hirsch
Johnny Depp
Best Actress
Kiera Knightly
Marion Cotilliard
Ellen Page
Angelina Jolie
Julie Christie
Director
Coen Bros
Paul Thomas Anderson
Sean Penn
Tony Gilroy
Joe Wright
Nate
Fantastic little summary of the dialogue there. I chuckled quite a bit.
'There will be blood for old men...' :-D
Oh - by dialogue - I mean 'the dialogue between Oscar, critics and the media'.
I'm still stuck with costume design - do I chuck out Hairspray, La Vie en Rose or Yuma. Rose is reminding me an awful lot of when A Very Long Engagement was nommed and Hairspray just seems so natural, but it missed the guilds. And 3:10 just feels like it's going to get a nom somewhere but I can't figure out where, exactly.
Aaggh!
The stress of it all.
My predix.
BEST FILM
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson
The Coen Bros.
David Fincher
Sean Penn
Julian Schnabel
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Mathieu Amalric
George Clooney
Daniel Day Lewis
Johnny Depp
Viggo Mortensen
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett
Julie Christie
Marion Cotillard
Angelina Jolie
Ellen Page
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Casey Affleck
Javier Bardem
Paul Dano
Hal Holbrook
Tom Wilkinson
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Amy Adams
Cate Blanchett
Kelly Macdonald
Saoirse Ronan
Tilda Swinton
Oops. I obviously meant Amy Ryan, not Adams, for supporting
Laura Linney is the one name I really want to see tomorrow morning. Love Love Love Love Her !
when you do the 1,2,3,4,5.....are you saying you think ellen page is going to win putting her at #1?
the ranking is on most confident about the nominations... and sort of winning issues.
i do think that Page has a shot at the win yes. I am rooting for Christie as everyone knows but I still think it's a three way race since Cotillard has Oscar's favorite type of role, Page has all the buzz and a huge campaign, and Christie isn't that much of a schmoozer/campaigner and her film came out a long time ago.
i don't think it's as settled as people think for the win. Though I wish it was.
the other thing worrying me. Helen Mirren won just last year and it had been a really long time since an older woman had one. They like fresh young things in this category more than they like legends.
we'll see. crossing my fingers that Christie maintains.
The dialogue - CLASSIC!!
Great job on the predictions, and I may be wrong and end up eating my hat, but I just don't really understand why anyone is predicting Juno for Best Picture.
Regarding the Animated category: I'm holding out hope for Persepolis. Triplets of Belleville made it that year right?
Well, mine are up now too.
It really will be fascinating to see what goes down on the fringes.
All of that Cate Blanchett hee-hawing was excessive, but whatever. There are more than enough people who thought that she was great in "The Golden Age" to merit the nomination she'll more than likely get tomorrow. The only nods I'm still on the fence about are Ruby Dee and Philip Seymour Hoffman, and I'm even questioning Johnny Depp making it into lead actor. I hope that "American Gangster" can surprise and get into some major categories, and I'm this close to swapping Emile Hirsch for Denzel Washington, b/c Hirsch is still very young, and voters have shown an young age bias with the men that oddly enough seems to be non-existent for the ladies.
Come on Amy Adams!
Cate Blanchett makes me histrionic. It's like a mirror effect or something
anonymous people won't you please sign off with your own name. it's as simple as typing a few letters before hitting post unless your name is like Mahershalalhashbaz or John Jacob Jingleheimer Schmidt and even then you can abbreviate...
If my name were John Jacob Jinglemeimer Schmidt I would never abreviate. I'd be like one of those people who are so cool that whenever you say my name you have to say the entire name.
Anon 10.16 - they nommed Ryan Gosling last year for a tiny indie flick. I would think Hirsch - in a probably best picture nominee - stands a decent chance.
It's not necessary to sign my name -- otherwise, it wouldn't be anonymous, and it shouldn't matter anyway in terms of the opinions being brought to the table.
it just helps is all since comments become a form of discussion and people say, 'hey Ms. Blanchett, i think that...' or 'what you said Sammy,' or 'well Mahershalalhashbaz, I disagree with...'
geez. not a lot to ask. you can even make up a name! Otherwise the anonymous brigade starts sound like one weird phantom ghost with schizophrenic tendencies.
I feel like shaking people and screaming JAMES MCAVOY at them, like i do when I watch election results (only with BARACK OBAMA instead). Oy. WHY, Oscar gods? WHY?
an by schizophrenic i meant "multiple personality disorder" oops.
Ok, so call me crazy but I think the Best Pic line-up will be:
Atonement
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
I know Atonement's state in the race BUT I find it hard to believe that guys from most of the tech categories won't be voting for it in the big category.
Schnabel gets the lone director slot (Wright gets left out).
Juno should be happy with a Best Actress and Screenplay nod. Taking into consideration the Globes track record, Oscar tastes and appeal among all the branches, I think Atonement gets the shaky fifth slot.
My Best Actor line-up is the same, Best Actress -- I'm following the consensus. Blanchett is gonna show up here, sad but true!
I also think Tommy Lee Jones replaces Hoffman and if they do nominate Atonement for Best Pic, Redgrave and Ronan both get in.
... or I may be totally wrong.
One more comment on your noms, As I said earlier, I have the same list as you... but I don't think Ruby Dee should be on the list... Catherine Keene is on mine ( although I did not think she was super ).
Before you ask: yes, I deliberately put at least one out-of-the-left-field choice in most of the categories. It's my first time doing such a complete prediction, and I was trying to, above all else, have fun with it. :)
*takes a deep breath*
Picture Atonement Diving Bell Michael Clayton No Country TWBB Director Anderson Coens Gilroy Lumet Schnabel Actor Clooney Depp DDL McAvoy Washington Actress HBC Cotillard Christie Knightley Page Supp Actor Affleck Bardem Cohen (Sweeney) Dano Wilkinson Supp Actress Blanchett Garner Ronan Ryan Swinton Orig Screenplay Bird Cody Gilroy Haynes Masterson Adapted Screenplay Anderson Coens Hampton Harwood Satrapi+Paronnaud
Cinematography Deakins (Jesse James) Kaminski Lachman McGarvey Savides (Zodiac) Art Dir Across the Universe Atonement Sweeney Todd TWBB Zodiac Costumes 300 Atonement Golden Age Hairspray Sweeney Makeup 300 La Vie en Rose Sweeney FX Golden Compass Pirates Transformers Sound Mixing Hairspray No Country Pirates Ratatouille Transformers Sound Editing Beowulf No Country Pirates Ratatouille Transformers Music Atonement Into the Wild Ratatouille TWBB Yuma Song Despedida | Falling Slowly | Guaranteed | Pop! Goes My Heart | That's How You Know
Animated Persepolis | Ratatouille | Simpsons Animated Short How to Hook Up Your Home Theater | I Met a Walrus | Madame Tutli-Putli | My Love | Peter and the Wolf Documentary Autism: the Musical | No End in Sight | Please Vote for Me | Sicko | White Light/Black Rain Documentary Short Body and Soul: Diana and Kathy | La Corona | Salim Baba | Sari's Mother Live Action Short ????? Foreign Austria Brazil Canada Russia Serbia
Come on "Atonement"! Prove everyone wrong tomorrow with double digit nominations, including best picture!
My personal Best Picture picks read: Atonement, Michael Clayton. No Country For Old Men, Sweeney Todd, There Will Be Blood.
It might be a bit risky, but I'm predicting a double snub for Juno and Into the Wild.
If Cate Blanchett gets nominated it would be like the Meryl Streep "Music of the Heart" nomination.
hee.
and we all LOVE Streep but think who they had to dump to make that happen.
FRANKA POTENTE -run lola run
REESE WITHERSPOON -election
//Critics: There Will Be Blood. No Country For Blood There Will Be No Country... For Old Men There Will Be Blood For No Blood Men . No Blood Will There Be For Old Country Men
MEDIA: JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNOJUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNOJUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNOJUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO JUNO//
Just another example of why I love this blog.
RedSatinDoll
Thanks Leslie, unfortunately people just take MLK Day as another day off from work. Halloween is more important.lol.
I wasn't sure if Ryan Adams liked it or not, he was very excited ( one of the few)about it before it came out, but now I see that he did.lol
I'm doing NG, No Glory predictions also.
Tang Wei gets in for actress-Haven't seen Lust, Caution yet though.
3:10 to Yuma or Hairspray gets in for Picture
David Fincher gets in for Director=I wish.
Christian Bale gets in for Rescue Dawn
Vanessa & Saoirse are both in for Atonement.
Angelina Jolie gets snubbed as well as Michael Clayton
Predictions I kind of want to happen just to piss people off.lol
Keira gets in, instead of Amy Adams oh my.
The Kite Runner gets a nod.
American Gangster or The Great Debaters gets in.
Hairspray gets nominated
Denzel Gets in for either movies.
Nikki Blonsky gets in for Hairspray. I don't think she deserves a nod, but it would make my freaking day
John Travolta gets in for Hairspray.
Belen Rueda( Sp?) gets in for The Orphanage
Into the Wild gets completely Snubbed ( preferably to piss off Ben Lyons from E)
If there's any surprise,it will be in the Director category,with either David Fincher or Cristian Mungiu. I wouldn't mind either.
Picture: Atonement, Juno, No Country, There Will Be Blood, Diving Bell
Director: Wright, Coens, Anderson, Schnabel, Penn
Actor: Day-Lewis, Clooney, Depp, Mortensen, McAvoy
Actress: Christie, Page, Cotillard, Jolie, Knightley
S. Actor: Bardem, Affleck, Wilkinson, Jones, Dano
S. Actress: Ronan, Ryan, Blanchett, Swinton, Keener
Atonement is 100% in the academy's wheelhouse. Ignore the guilds.
and yet another horrible decision. jonny greenwood has been ruled ineligible for best score, due to the inclusion of pre-existing work. complete bull.
http://www.variety.com/blog/890000489.html
MD
Suprise prediction for score: James Newton Howard, I Am Legend
Ugh, my head hurts from thinking about this. And the saddest part...nobody knows sh*t.
Best Picture
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
Michael Clayton
Best Actor
Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Best Actress
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Ve en Rose
Ellen Page, Juno
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem, No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Casey Affleck, Jesse James
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War
Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Jennifer Garner, Juno
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Director
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Sidney Lumet, Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
Screenplay, Original
Juno
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
Lars and the Real Girl
The Savages
Screenplay, Adapted
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into The Wild
Charlie Wilson’s War
Animated Feature
Ratatouille
Persepolis
The Simpsons Movie
Documentary Feature
Sicko
No End in Sight
Autism: The Musical
Lake of Fire
War/Dance
Foreign Language Film
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
The Unknown (Italy)
The Year my Parents Went on Vacation (Brazil)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
Cinematography
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood
Assassination of Jesse James
Atonement
No Country for Old Men
Art Direction
Sweeney Todd
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
There Will Be Blood
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Editing
No Country for Old Men
Michael Clayton
There Will Be Blood
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
Visual Effects
Transformers
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
300
Costume Design
Atonement
Sweeney Todd
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
La Vie en Rose
Hairspray
Makeup
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd
Sound Mixing
Transformers
Bourne Ultimatum
Sweeney Todd
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Sound Editing
Transformers
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
Ratatouille
Original Score
Atonement
There Will Be Blood
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
Eastern Promises
Original Song
Falling Slowly – Once
Guaranteed – Into the Wild
Come So Far – Hairspray
Enchanted – That’s How You Know
La Festin – Ratatouille
P.S. I got so irritated at the end, I just started putting down my NGNG predictions.
...and now we wait.
my dream best actress noms: Julie Christie-away from her - Ellen Page-Juno - Marion for La Vien La rose, Nicole Kidman - margot at the wedding and Jodie Foster -the brave one!!!
What is your dream nominations Nat?
Ah,I wished Paul Dano and James MacAvoy could score their noms, also Mrs Tim Burton as supporting.
Some quick (and probably foolish) No Guts, No Glory predictions and a question:
NGNG:
-Sweeney Todd shut out of the big 8
-Diving Bell get in four of the Big 8 (picture, director, adapted screenplay, supporting actor)
-Eastern Promises ends up in three categories: actor, original screenplay and director
Question for people with any understanding of the increasingly nebulous rules surrounding the foreign language category:
With Four Months... being knocked out of the foreign language race, would it be eligible in other categories next year if it didn't get any noms this year a la City of God? Would that work more in its favor considering that most people at large won't get to see it until later this year? How does that even work? Does it have to do with its US release date?
Thanks,
Dr. Mahershalalhashbaz
Jingleheimer -Schmidt, M.D.
the lawyer tony fernando my dream nominations would of course be the film bitch awards themselves ;)
you know where they are
[Off-topic:]
I'm not trying to start sh*t, James1000 & Nathaniel, but Meryl is pretty great in Music of the Heart — better than Annette in American Beauty and way better than Julianne Moore in The End of the Affair, if you ask me. If Reese or Franka or Kate Winslet or Diane Lane feel sheisty about what happened in '99, and I can see why they would, they can call The Bening or God herself.
you so crazy. god was awesome in 99.
throw down
My No Guts No Glory predix were Greenwood snubbed (well, he has since been ruled ineligible so I got that one), Eastern Promises for original screenplay over Lars, Devil and Knocked Up and I nearly went with a Tilda snub because she's that high class indie gal type actor that routinely gets snubbed. But, I figure, she has a likely best picture nominee on her side so she can't possibly fall to the wayside like so many others (hi Peter Sarsgaard). Can she?
Glenn, don't give me nightmares!!!
1. I think this is the year that proves whether or not Cate Blanchett (and Laura Linney) can be branded "default nominees" or not. Cate Blanchett has been nominated before for films that had broad support. I don't think she'd exactly be a default nominee for I'm Not There given the strength of her critical support. It will be interesting. I don't think it'll happen.
2. Nathaniel, I'm serious - I need you to salvage this awards season for me. First the foreign film committee decides to exclude Persepolis and 4 months, 3 weeks, 2 days. Then Johnny Greenwood is ruled ineligible (and it almost feels like they looked for a reason to make it ineligible. Especially since Babel won last year). I didn't watch last year, and I can't imagine I'm going to this year.
3. Nathaniel, I agree on shutting Lars out. If it's gonna score, it would score here, but I doubt it will play well to the oscar voters That said, a Tilda Swinton snub wouldn't surprise me in the least. I'm not convinced Michael Clayton's the type of best picture nominee to sweep someone in on it's coattails (a la Chicago). She could do it, though.
4. Why are you so sure about the Hoffman nomination?
I don't have an account, or can't remember it, but this is the former OscarSights guy. I am totally with you on Linney. Around the same time you did, I started predicting Linney because a.) I think Blanchett = Zhang this year, and b.) 2003 will repeat, and there will be a WTF? Morton nominee who got hardly ANY mentions and gets into the race. To add, after seeing this performance tonight, it definitely deserves the nomination.
ouch, or in portuguese ai, sorry for that smart question, you know please forgive me, it was probably all the tropical sun and homo sex in Bahia, so please forgive me!
my No Guts, No Glory predictions--
There Will Be Snubs for Angelina and Johnny and... Cate in the BSA catergory. I think she will get a nom for TGA but not for INT.
My predictions:
Best Picture
Atonement
Juno
No Country for Old Men
Michael Clayton
There Will Be Blood
Alternate: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Suprise: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ethan & Joel Coen - No Country for Old Men
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright - Atonement
Alternate: Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Surprise: Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Best Actor in a Leading Role
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
James McAvoy - Atonement
Alternate: Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
Surprise: Emile Hirsch - Into the Wild
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Julie Christie - Away from Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney - The Savages
Ellen Page - Juno
Alternate: Amy Adams - Enchanted
Surprise: Keira Knightley - Atonement
Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
Alternate: Tommy Lee Jones - No Country for Old Men
Surprise: Paul Dano - There Will Be Blood
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Kelly Macdonald - No Country for Old Men
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Alternate: Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement
Surprise: Jennifer Garner - Juno
Best Original Screenplay
Diablo Cody - Juno
Judd Apatow - Knocked Up
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Brad Bird, Jim Capobianco & Jan Pinkava - Ratatouille
Tamara Jenkins - The Savages
Alternate: Nancy Oliver - Lars and the Real Girl
Surprise: Steven Zaillian - American Gangster
Best Adapted Screenplay
Christopher Hampton - Atonement
Sarah Polley - Away from Her
Ronald Harwood - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Ethan & Joel Coen - No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Alternate: James Vanderbilt - Zodiac
Surprise: Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Best Foreign Language Film
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
The Unknown Woman (Italy)
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation (Brazil)
Alternate: 12 (Russia)
Surprise: The Trap (Serbia)
Best Art Direction
Atonement
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood
Alternate: The Golden Compass
Surprise: Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Best Cinematography
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Lust, Caution
There Will Be Blood
Alternate: No Country for Old Men
Surprise: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Best Costume Design
Atonement
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Alternate: The Golden Compass
Surprise: Lust, Caution
Best Film Editing
American Gangster
Atonement
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Alternate: The Bourne Ultimatum
Surprise: Into the Wild
Best Sound Mixing
Beowulf
No Country for Old Men
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Transformers
Alternate: 300
Surprise: The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Sound Editing
Beowulf
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Ratatouille
Spider-Man 3
Transformers
Alternate: The Bourne Ultimatum
Surprise: 300
Best Visual Effects
The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers
Alternate: 300
Surprise: I Am Legend
Best Makeup
La Vie en Rose
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Alternate: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Surprise: 300
Best Original Score
Atonement
Eastern Promises
The Kite Runner
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
Alternate: 3:10 to Yuma
Surprise: Grace is Gone
Best Original Song
Enchanted - "That's How You Know"
Grace is Gone - "Grace is Gone"
Grace is Gone - "Lullaby for Wyatt"
Into the Wild - "Guaranteed"
Once - "Falling Slowly"
Alternate: American Gangster - "Do You Feel Me?"
Surprise: Hairspray - "Come So Far (Got So Far to Go)"
Best Documentary Feature
Lake of Fire
No End in Sight
The Price of Sugar
The Rape of Europa
Sicko
Alternate: War/Dance
Surprise: Autism: The Musical
Best Animated Feature
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
Alternate: Bee Movie
Surprise: Beowulf
Nick,
I thought Meryl was good in "Music", I have no problems with her in the movie. I just felt that year there were lots of other deserving pics. I loves me some Mary Louise Streep (her real name) don't get me wrong. That was the only undeserved nom from her at least for me.
That said, and off subject if Tilda Swinton gets nominated in Supporting Actress for Michael Clayton she could very well pull off the upset.
Word to that, James. I wasn't really picking at you. (Nathaniel knows I was picking at him, going after his twin goddesses of actressexuality and all.) I have seen Music of the Heart an unreasonable number of times (compared to what I believe are the zero times that Someone has seen it), and I'm obviously guilty-defensive about how I always. cry. And it really is my favorite of Meryl's regular-gal performances, which I wish more people who find her too lofty or mechanical would seek out. (I actually wish Meryl herself had watched it before she filmed Rendition: loosen it up, girl!)
Nick,
Don't sweat it I didn't think you were picking at me. I am also an actressexual also and lots of times in the Best Actress category I am rarely satisfied with the nominees much less the winners.
Now on the actor side I would be bummed out if Denzel got in for his pedestrain performance in American Gangster.
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