OK... I've started the Oscar page updates and I figure I'd tackle the behemoth Best Picture first and work my way from there. For the first time in two months I've changed my predicted lineup. Munich leaves the Oscar predicted circle for the first time in my predictions since September and October where it stayed just out of range.
My four point reasoning for dumping it? Read the whole thing but it boils down to: 1. Release Date. 2. The "Anointed One" Status. 3. Temperature. 4. DGA vs. Oscar Spielberg history.
Previously 'Doubting Thomas' Post on Munich:
Weird Oscar Equations Munich (Scroll to October 29th)