I think it's going down like this: CLOONEY -GNaGL * HAGGIS -Crash * LEE -Brokeback * MANGOLD -Walk the Line * SPIELBERG -Munich. Only because it's indicative of what I think will be the best picture nominations. (It'd be cool if Munich was a shut-out --I usually love the anointed whole year frontrunner to be dissed, because it proves that it's actually not a preordained contest --but let's not get too excited about the PGA snub. There's still SAG and DGA and all the guilds to go).
The only locks are Clooney and Lee. And it's crazy to have only two locks at this point for DGA.
In that lineup I am least confident about MANGOLD & SPIELBERG. But honestly the lineup could just as easily include CRONENBERG (hoorah. crossing my fingers) -A History of Violence, or MEIRELLES -Constant Gardener or HOWARD (blech but the DGA loves him) -Cinderella Man or ALLEN (welcome back) -Match Point . But what do I know. Nothing. This year is deliciously competitive. And it's crazy to have so many competitors still in the hunt. The only people that seem to be in the race that I feel confident will not be nominated are MILLER for Capote and JACKSON for King Kong. But these other 9 men are all strong possibilities for tomorrow's announcement. Crazy year, right?